Article Sidebar
Submitted
Sep 22, 2020
Accepted
Sep 28, 2020
Published
Sep 30, 2020
Download
Statistic
Read Counter : 538
Download : 366
Downloads
Main Article Content
Abstract
Jambi Province is one of the province in western Indonesia, which was affected by COVID-19 in March and until mid-September the number confirmed positive reached 345 people. Until now COVID-19 has become a pandemic.Based on this data, it is necessary to predict the number of COVID-19 in Jambi Province, including every district in Jambi city. Double exponential smoothing: The Holt two-parameter method determines the value of the trend with a tang parameter different from the parameter used in the original series. The principle of forecasting using multiple exponential smoothing: The Holt two-parameter method uses two smoothing constants with values between 0 and 1. Based on the results of forecasting using the double exponential smoothing by Holt method, it can be seen that the number of confirmed cases of Covid-19 in each region in Jambi Province continues to increase. This case is estimated to increase to 352 people in mid-October.
Keywords
covid-19
forcest
exponensial smoothing
Article Details
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
How to Cite
1.
Sherli Yurinanda, Multahadah C, Aryani R. Development of COVID-19 Case in District and City of Jambi Province with Exponential Smoothing Methode. EKSAKTA [Internet]. 2020Sep.30 [cited 2025Apr.6];21(2):110-23. Available from: https://eksakta.ppj.unp.ac.id/index.php/eksakta/article/view/244
References
- Badan Nasional PenanggulanganBencana, “JumlahKasus COVID-19 Global dan Indonesia”, GugusTugasPercepatanPenanganan COVID-19. [Online]. Available: http://covid19.bnpb.go.id/. (Accessed: September 15, 2020)..
- Alvi MM, Sivasankaran S, Singh M. (2020). Pharmacological and non-pharmacological efforts at prevention, mitigation, and treatment for COVID-19. Journal of drug targeting.28(7-8):742-54.
- Cronin AM, Railey S, Fortune D, Wegener DH, Davis JB. (2020). Notes from the Field: Effects of the COVID-19 Response on Tuberculosis Prevention and Control Efforts - United States, March-April 2020. MMWR Morbidity and mortality weekly report.69(29):971-2.
- Peng MT. (2020). [Nurses: A Voice to Lead, Nursing the World to Health-Viewing COVID-19 Epidemic Prevention Efforts in Light of Nightingale's Perspective on Infection Control]. Hu li za zhi The journal of nursing.67(3):102-10.
- Popescu S. (2020). Roadblocks to Infection Prevention Efforts in Healthcare SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19 Response. Disaster medicine and public health preparedness.1-7.
- Stevens MP, Doll M, Pryor R, Godbout E, Cooper K, Bearman G. (2020). Impact of COVID-19 on traditional healthcare-associated infection prevention efforts. Infection control and hospital epidemiology.41(8):946-7.
- Yen MY, Schwartz J, Chen SY, King CC, Yang GY, Hsueh PR. (2020). Interrupting COVID-19 transmission by implementing enhanced traffic control bundling: Implications for global prevention and control efforts. Journal of microbiology, immunology, and infection = Wei mian yu gan ran za zhi.53(3):377-80.
- Harini, Siti. 2020. Identification COVID-19 Cases in Indonesia with The Double Exponential Smoothing Method, JurnalMatematika MANTIK, 6, 66-75.
- Jambi Siaga COVID-19, “Data Statistik COVID-19 Provinsi Jambi”, PemerintahProvinsi Jambi. [Online]. Available: http://corona.jambiprov.go.id. (Accessed: September 15, 2020)
- Pindyck, Robert S.,and Rubinfeld, Daniel L. (1998). Econometrics Models and Economic Forcest, $th.Singapore : Mc Graw Hill.
- S. Makridakis. (2003). Metode dan AplikasiPeramalanJilid 1 (EdisiRevisi). Jakarta: BinarupaAksara.
- Worldometer, “Covid-19 Corona virus Pandemic”, worldometer, 2020. [Online],Available: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/indonesia/,(Accessed: September 10, 2020).
- World Health Organization. Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) advice for the public [Online]. 2020.Available from: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/ novel-coronavirus-2019/advice-for-public. (Accessed: September 15, 2020).
- World Health Organization. Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) advice for the public [Online]. Available from: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/ novel-coronavirus-2019/advice-for-public. (Accessed: September 15, 2020).
- Alharbi A, Alharbi S, Alqaidi S. (2020). Guidelines for dental care provision during the COVID-19 pandemic. The Saudi dental journal.32(4):181-6.
- Ather A, Patel B, Ruparel NB, Diogenes A, Hargreaves KM. (2020). Coronavirus Disease 19 (COVID-19): Implications for Clinical Dental Care. Journal of endodontics.46(5):584-95.
- Calvo C, Garcia Lopez-Hortelano M, de Carlos Vicente JC, Vazquez Martinez JL, Grupo de trabajo de la Asociacion Espanola de Pediatria para el brote de infeccion por Coronavirus cceMdS, Miembros del Grupo de Expertos de la AEP. (2020). [Recommendations on the clinical management of the COVID-19 infection by the <> SARS-CoV2. Spanish Paediatric Association working group]. Anales de pediatria.92(4):241 e1- e11.
- Chen W, Su XY, Wang VJ, Wang EC, Xu R, Zhong S, et al. (2020). Novel Coronavirus International Public Health Emergency: Guidance on Radiation Oncology Facility Operation. Advances in radiation oncology.5(4):560-6.
- Chisci E, Masciello F, Michelagnoli S. (2020). The Italian USL Toscana Centro model of a vascular hub responding to the COVID-19 emergency. Journal of vascular surgery.72(1):8-11.
- de Lusignan S, Lopez Bernal J, Zambon M, Akinyemi O, Amirthalingam G, Andrews N, et al. (2020). Emergence of a Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19): Protocol for Extending Surveillance Used by the Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre and Public Health England. JMIR public health and surveillance.6(2):e18606.
- Escalera-Antezana JP, Lizon-Ferrufino NF, Maldonado-Alanoca A, Alarcon-De-la-Vega G, Alvarado-Arnez LE, Balderrama-Saavedra MA, et al. (2020). Clinical features of the first cases and a cluster of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Bolivia imported from Italy and Spain. Travel medicine and infectious disease.35:101653.
- Foddai A, Lubroth J, Ellis-Iversen J. (2020). Base protocol for real time active random surveillance of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) - Adapting veterinary methodology to public health. One health.9:100129.
- Glauser W. (2020). Proposed protocol to keep COVID-19 out of hospitals. CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne.192(10):E264-E5.
- Gonzalez-Brown VM, Reno J, Lortz H, Fiorini K, Costantine MM. (2020). Operating Room Guide for Confirmed or Suspected COVID-19 Pregnant Patients Requiring Cesarean Delivery. American journal of perinatology.37(8):825-8.
- Hsieh TY, Dedhia RD, Chiao W, Dresner H, Barta RJ, Lyford-Pike S, et al. (2020). A Guide to Facial Trauma Triage and Precautions in the COVID-19 Pandemic. Facial plastic surgery & aesthetic medicine.22(3):164-9.
- Li W, Zhou Q, Tang Y, Ren L, Yu X, Li Q, et al. (2020). Protocol for the development of a rapid advice guidelines for management of children with SARS-CoV-2 infection. Annals of palliative medicine.9(4):2251-5.
- Li Y, Liu X, Guo L, Li J, Zhong D, Zhang Y, et al. (2020). Traditional Chinese herbal medicine for treating novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pneumonia: protocol for a systematic review and meta-analysis. Systematic reviews.9(1):75.
- Liu S, Zheng Q, Wang Z. (2020). Potential covalent drugs targeting the main protease of the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus. Bioinformatics.36(11):3295-8.
- Nicastri E, D'Abramo A, Faggioni G, De Santis R, Mariano A, Lepore L, et al. (2020). Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in a paucisymptomatic patient: epidemiological and clinical challenge in settings with limited community transmission, Italy, February 2020. Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin.25(11).
- O'Reilly GM, Mitchell RD, Noonan MP, Hiller R, Mitra B, Brichko L, et al. (2020). Informing emergency care for COVID-19 patients: The COVID-19 Emergency Department Quality Improvement Project protocol. Emergency medicine Australasia : EMA.32(3):511-4.