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Development of COVID-19 Case in District and City of Jambi Province with Exponential Smoothing Methode

1 Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Technology, Universitas Jambi, Jambi, Indonesia
2 Information Systems Study Program, Faculty of Science and Technology, Universitas Jambi, Jambi, Indonesia
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Abstract

Jambi Province is one of the province in western Indonesia, which was affected by COVID-19 in March and until mid-September the number confirmed positive reached 345 people. Until now  COVID-19 has become a pandemic.Based on this data, it is necessary to predict the number of COVID-19 in Jambi Province, including every district in Jambi city. Double exponential smoothing: The Holt two-parameter method determines the value of the trend with a tang parameter different from the parameter used in the original series. The principle of forecasting using multiple exponential smoothing: The Holt two-parameter method uses two smoothing constants with values between 0 and 1.  Based on the results of forecasting using the double exponential smoothing by Holt method, it can be seen that the number of confirmed cases of Covid-19 in each region in Jambi Province continues to increase. This case is estimated to increase to 352 people in mid-October.

Author Biography

S

Sherli Yurinanda

Indonesia
Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Technology, Universitas Jambi, Jambi, Indonesia

Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Technology, Universitas Jambi, Jambi, Indonesia

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How to Cite

1.
Development of COVID-19 Case in District and City of Jambi Province with Exponential Smoothing Methode. EKSAKTA [Internet]. 2020 Sep. 30 [cited 2026 Aug. 24];21(2):110-23. Available from: https://eksakta.ppj.unp.ac.id/index.php/eksakta/article/view/244

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