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Abstract
This study investigates discrepancies between classical propagation models (Okumura-Hata, CI, FI) and LoRa field measurements in urban and rural environments. While rural areas exhibited linear path loss trends, urban scenarios showed distinct signal saturation, resulting in significant residuals even after model optimization. To address this, a residual-based analysis using Machine Learning (Linear Regression, Decision Tree, Random Forest) was proposed to map these systematic errors. The evaluation reveals that Random Forest (RF) significantly outperforms other algorithms, achieving an of 0.961 and an RMSE of 3.291 dB. These findings demonstrate that model mismatches follow deterministic patterns driven by environmental features rather than random noise. The study concludes that integrating ML-based residual compensation is essential for accurate radio planning in heterogeneous network deployments.
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